Sideways Trend into the Open

 

On Monday, prior to the market open, I shared the following YTC article via social media – http://yourtradingcoach.com/trading-process-and-strategy/patience-at-the-open/

The title of the article is "Patience at the Open".

And that pretty much sums up my intent in sending out that link. Simply trying to slow down the excitement and stop you jumping into the market prematurely, on the first day back from a long-weekend.

If you trade as I do, taking pieces out of the trend structure as it unfolds at the RHS of the screen, there is often no hurry to catch the first trade of the day.

If the bias is immediately clear, by all means trade.

But if there is any uncertainty, the superior play is often to stand aside and wait. Remain patient. Allow the uncertainty to resolve itself.

This will typically only take a few minutes.

The prior article outlined two of the "warning signs" which have me standing aside. Firstly, bias conflict. And secondly, seriously bad-looking price action (choppy with much overlap). Review the article if you missed it.

But in a great example of the market rhyming, rather than repeating, Monday offered a slightly different scenario. It's a variation of bias conflict, but unlike the prior example which had a directional trend into the open, this time we had a sideways market.

We manage this exactly the same way though. Remain patient. And allow any conflict or uncertainty to resolve itself.

Let's step through the open on Monday.

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

See here for rules on defining the trend structure.

Let's zoom in a little…

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

<image: Sideways Trend into the Open>

See here for the six YTC Principles for future trend direction.

This is a really easy concept. Our aim is simply to stand aside and wait, whenever there is uncertainty in the opening market bias.

There may be no uncertainty. You might have a directional market into the open with a momentum drive in the same direction. Go for it. There's no need to wait.

But if there is any doubt, or confusion, or uncertainty, then stand aside. Wait till it resolves itself. Wait till there is some clarity. And wait till you have confidence in your read of the market action.

Happy trading,

Lance Beggs

 


 

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YourTradingCoach - Admin

4 Comments to “Sideways Trend into the Open”

  1. Marcus says:

    Hi Lance, great article it’s very helpful. I was wondering though what kept you from taking a BOF entry at the 1st series of breakout attempts through that resistance?

    • Lance Beggs says:

      It was just too narrow range. Look at the first two opening TTF candles. One candle is almost as wide as the whole range. So I just wasn’t interested in playing in there, preferring to limit my opportunity to anything outside of the range.

  2. Marcus says:

    Sorry, I’m afraid I dont fully understand. Is it that there wasnt enough profit opportunity there because of the 2 large candles?

    • Lance Beggs says:

      Correct. In such a tight range there just isn’t enough room to profit.

      Not “because” of the two large candles. I just used them to illustrate how narrow the range is, in that one candle can basically travel from range high to range low.

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